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Daily Loss Limit Calculator

Estimate how many consecutive losses can touch a daily loss limit and how often that streak may appear in a trading day model.

Direct answer

The daily loss line is converted to money, per-trade risk is converted to money, and ceil(limit / risk) gives the consecutive losses needed to breach. The streak probability uses the same exact DP as the losing-streak calculator.

Daily risk inputs

Shows the maximum per-trade risk needed to survive this many losses without touching the daily line.
losses to breach = ceil(daily loss limit ÷ risk per trade)

Limit pressure

Losses to breach
Daily loss limit
Risk per trade
Losses survivable
Max risk for survival target
Breach streak in day
Pure breach streak
This treats the daily-limit hit as a consecutive-loss streak model estimate.
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Risk warning. CFDs are complex instruments and carry a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. A significant proportion of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs; where a broker publishes an official percentage, we show it only with the source and capture date. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and can afford the risk. Full risk disclosure.

Educational tools for non-US traders · not directed at US persons.

How it works

What the model calculates

This tool turns a daily loss limit and a fixed per-trade risk into a consecutive-loss stress test. It does not hard-code any firm or broker rule. Enter the limit and risk you want to test.

Formulas used

daily loss amount = account × loss limit %, or the amount you enter directly.

risk amount = account × risk %, or the amount you enter directly.

losses to breach = ceil(daily loss amount ÷ risk amount)

losses survivable = losses to breach - 1

max risk to survive x losses = daily loss amount ÷ (x + 1)

P(streak breach in N trades) reuses the exact no-run DP from the losing-streak model.

Worked example

A $10,000 account with a 3% daily loss line has a $300 daily limit. At 1% risk per trade, each loss is $100, so three consecutive losses touch the line. With 45% win rate and 20 trades, the model estimate for at least one 3-loss run is about 86.9127%.

What it leaves out

The calculation focuses on pure consecutive-loss pressure. It does not include partial wins, intraday realized versus floating equity rules, commissions, spread widening, skipped trades or discretionary stop changes.

Frequently asked questions

Does this represent a specific prop firm rule?
No. It is user-input only and does not hard-code any firm limit.
Why use consecutive losses instead of total daily P&L?
Consecutive losses are the cleanest analytic stress case for a fixed-risk day. A full daily P&L model would need win amounts, trade timing and equity-rule details.
What is max risk to survive x losses?
It is the largest per-trade loss amount that would still leave the daily line untouched after x consecutive losses.
Does it use the losing-streak calculator math?
Yes. The breach-streak probability uses the same exact no-run dynamic program.
Can real daily-limit behavior differ?
Yes. Broker or challenge rules, floating P&L, commissions, slippage and position overlap can change the live result.

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